The other night, where I am here on holiday, the local village had a huge festival. This involved part of the main square being turned into a massive inferno and once the embers were smouldering local people piled thousands of sardines on top of old iron bed frames, complete with ancient springs. These frames weighed down with fresh fish morphed into possibly the largest barbecue grill imaginable. The sardines were scoffed, washed down with lots of local wine.
The festival marks the passing of the full moon in early August on the Adriatic and the beginning of a period of moonless nights. Traditionally, on moonless nights, the local fishermen headed out, lanterns hanging from their boats and waited for the sardines.
They did this on moonless nights because the moon confuses the sardines.
Throughout the full-moon nights of late July, the plankton that the sardines eat can be easily seen shimmering on the surface of the water. The sardines come up from the depths to feed on the effervescent plankton, helped by the light of the moon to see their feast.
The sardines thus associate the light of the moon with food. The brighter the light, the more food the sardines believe they can gobble up. As a result, they love the full moon.
Traditionally, the fishermen wait for moonless nights, paddle out a mile or so, drop their nets and wait.
Then once there is no moonlight, they light up their own lanterns, the light attracts the sardines and, in no time, there would be thousands of sardines circling the boats.
Then the fishermen pulled in their nets, bulging with a massive hoard.
The night after the big sardine hunt was historically celebrated with this huge outdoor, communal sardine mega-grill.
Now decades later, the locals still celebrate the Night of the Sardines. But today it is a tourist event. These days, the sardines are caught by large trawlers using high-powered, German-made torches. But the basic principle is the same. Today, instead of the entire island out in boats helping each other, massive leaps in technology mean that only a few of the locals are fishing.
This development, where the few deliver more, is the so-called “productivity revolution”. What used to be done by dozens of men can now be done by a handful.
Economic theory claimed that these increases in productivity engendered by technology would “free up” the others who no longer want to fish so they can take up work in other so-called higher value-added jobs.
But what if this doesn’t work in practice?
What if the people displaced by technology don’t get new high-paying jobs but languish in a half-existence between odd-jobs, underemployment and idleness?
This is an enormous dilemma and it seems that down here in the eastern Mediterranean, what might work in theory, doesn’t work in practice. The last few decades have seen lots of local industry eliminated by competition from the north of Europe as more and more trade barriers have been lowered.
In return for Volkswagens, large swathes of previously employed manufacturing workers are laid off. The displaced workers have not taken up new jobs in new local enterprises but have relied in the main on the expanded government bureaucracy for permanent jobs.
So the countries in southern (and eastern) Europe not only lose their industries to northern Europe, but get into debt in the process. Their banks are privatised initially and then sold off to western European banks, which in turn, provide the elixir of consumer credit to the local people.
This debt is incurred mainly to achieve a lifestyle, which the less productive countries can’t actually afford, but still seem to desire.
And of course, if they don’t yearn for it, a blizzard of advertising ensures that only the truly enigmatic, eccentric and strong-willed can fight the prevailing corporate effort to turn a want into a need. However, if you and your country get into large amounts of foreign debt, it is essential to maintain a very strong exchange rate to make sure that you can pay this lolly back.
But maintaining a strong exchange rate means that whatever domestic industry the country might hope for, has little chance of competing against companies from stronger countries because local workers are too expensive. So the southern countries don’t even get out of the blocks.
All the while, the unemployed sardine fishermen are kicking about looking for something to do – the productivity miracle doesn’t seem that miraculous after all.
Communal work is replaced by seasonal bits and pieces, while industry is replaced by three months of tourism.
Wealth is concentrated in the hands of the politically connected who managed to grab the assets during privatisation, only to sell them on to foreigners.
This means that the political process is one large exercise in doling out sweets to your mates.
Ultimately, the country joins the EU or the euro and this bestows not northern European efficiency, but a western European stamp of approval and credibility on the entire process, entrenching the new elite and painting the once hard-working fishermen as lazy, feckless and endemically work-shy.
Lunar Energy
Nature responds in magic ways and it is that same energy that drives the Economy in the same way as Sex .
Full Moon is Sunday . So as an exercise watch the hurling semi final between Limerick and Kilkenny and after 15 mins you will know what side the Full Moon has partnered with .
The rejected team by the lunar energy will show on their faces a complete lack of control and the power of this force will empower the lucky team to a vibrant success with a spectacular ending .
Morning from lovely Norfolk.
Hi, “What if the people displaced by technology don’t get new high-paying jobs but languish in a half-existence between odd-jobs, underemployment and idleness” You could have communities in the UK where the mines used to be with this statement. “And of course, if they don’t yearn for it, a blizzard of advertising ensures that only the truly enigmatic, eccentric and strong-willed can fight the prevailing corporate effort to turn a want into a need” I kind of fit into this category. Got seven chickens last night had four eggs this morning. Kids had great sport. Have pre pay meter installed… Read more »
Couldn’t agree more with you , Michael!! They’re all a bunch of dickheads!!
I guess those feckless fishermen should retrain and get into financial services.
Hope you are having a brill hols David.
Hi Dathi, I knew you jumped the gun when you got sucked inn thinking the Russians or the Ukrainians were responsible for shooting down the Malaysian Airliner as in my view the yanks benefited the most an Russia seems to think so too; (Remember Cui Bono or who benefits) http://www.newsweek.com/russian-state-media-says-cia-shot-down-malaysian-airlines-flight-mh-17-260381 The US can keep the pressure on a Muslim country who owns the airliner, They can blame the Russians to keep pressure on them and drive a wedge between Russia and Germany to disrupt the export of cheap Russian Gas The west then can supply gas from there hopelessly inefficient… Read more »
David you are incorrigible in your incessant anti-Euro rants. To blame the unemployment of Adriatic sardine fishermen on the Euro is simply over the top. Perhaps it is the sun. You seem to base your argument on “if you and your country get into large amounts of foreign debt, it is essential to maintain a very strong exchange rate to make sure that you can pay this lolly back”. This apparently is then engineered by joining the Euro. You seem to believe that the entire Euro project is a giant conspiracy to entrap poorer countries into crippling debt, thus reduce… Read more »
Well it is nice to be feckless now and then and I have been for long periods of my life. I have always earned enough and saved in order to be so. I am just returned from a 12 day sailing jaunt to a different locale every 2 days. all the people in the club fleet were able to not give a damn about the economy as they spent their largess from very nice pensions. (I spend my capital as I have little pension) I just do not have a guilty conscience as I have paid a couple of pot… Read more »
http://hat4uk.wordpress.com/2014/07/26/at-least-liam-halligan-gets-it/
http://www.realjewnews.com/?p=954
To be honest the above article describes Ireland to a tee, once you exclude the mnc sector (based on double Dutch tax sandwiches). And even certain regions of northern Europe are now more committed to Ponzi-real-estate investing economics (which produce even more ridiculous debts) than they are committed to manufacturing. Sweden and Britain being prime examples of countries once serious about manufacturing, but which have turned into real estate Ponzi schemes. The entire economic model being used in much of the EU is nonsense. A seriously flawed version of Keynesian economics finds political favour in the massive state bureaucracies of… Read more »
The article describes the essence of peripheral Europe.
Greece is an even more accentuated version of the above description – because the debts are worse, and the political corruption is much worse.
Excellent article.
http://directdemocracyireland.ie/sanctions-blow-export-led-recovery/#comment-1960
This is the result when a peripheral country attaches itself to the EU and the new World order.
Leave the Euro and embrace a national currency on sound money principles.
Regain the national sovereignty. Only then can there be an independent foreign policy pursued.
The problem that the sardine fishermen face is that they don’t, actually, live in a real free market. Every economic philosopher has tried to describe, and solve, the gap between unbridled nature – red in tooth and claw – and the level of human society that was around them at the time. The current western bloc postulate’s that ever increasing state intervention is the only solution. As with all previous statist methodologies, every law designed to direct social attitudes spawns others, to fix the need to enforce the previous ones, at an ever more micro level. Western countries are preparing… Read more »
Off topic, but can we now give Dublin a New nickname, like Junkie City? Let’s get the National Meeja to foster it. Sure Limerick managed quite well with stab city, so lets pass the baton on guys!
http://www.independent.ie/opinion/letters/something-has-gone-seriously-wrong-in-our-fair-city-30494283.html
More and more economists are talking about how the current monetary system is mathematically unsustainable. There will be a very disruptive reset and quantitative easing is only delaying the inevitable.
The link below has the best and most succinct explanation I’ve read thus far.
Ok , They’re promoting gold but their message is to reduce paper holdings and diversify across a broad range of tangible assets.
http://goldswitzerland.com/people-causing-crises-stand-to-gain-the-most-from-it/